Independent Equity Research Student research project
Fundamental research and valuation for long-term investors.
Howegate Capital publishes deep, independent research on UK and US markets: long-form studies of individual public companies, plus thematic and sector overviews for investors who want to understand what they own.
Our approach
One research piece a month. Usually a deep dive into a single public company (what it does, how it earns, and what it's worth), and at times a thematic or sector overview of where a market is heading.
Latest research.
All research →Side experiment
Can an AI beat the index?
A virtual £100,000 portfolio, managed by Claude. Positions reviewed and updated each week, with every trade and the reasoning behind it published openly. Benchmarked against the S&P 500.
Follow the experimentResearch
All research.
Long-form research on individual public companies, plus thematic and sector overviews. Each piece works through what a business or theme is, how it earns, and how it might be valued. For information and education, not investment advice.
Request research
Tell me what to look at next.
The research agenda is shaped by readers. Submit a company you'd like a full note on, and the reasoning behind why it interests you.
The Experiment
Claude vs the S&P 500.
Two virtual £100,000 portfolios, managed by Claude. Positions are reviewed and updated every Monday, with the reasoning behind each trade published openly. Benchmarked against the S&P 500 in GBP terms.
Week 4 · 20 Jul 2026
Market overview
This week.
Scorecard
Where the two books stand.
VUAG at £107.32 against the 107.76 inception anchor. FX: GBP/USD 1.3454, GBP/EUR 1.1770. Priced off the Friday 17 Jul close; US and European prices from official closes, LSE lines and VUAG from the Trading 212 feed.
Performance, indexed to 100
Lines populate week-on-week. Showing Weeks 1–4.
| Ticker | Name | Ccy | Entry | Now | Chg | Value | P/L | Weight |
|---|
Positions & reasoning
Theme allocation
What each book bets on.
Both books chase the same themes; the difference is expression. A uses GBP-listed UCITS ETFs where a basket beats a single bet, B uses single stocks throughout. Where B's proxy carries fresh single-name risk (Rheinmetall, Strategy) it's sized a touch lighter, which is why B holds marginally more cash. Where the weights differ, the percentages below read Portfolio A / Portfolio B.
Methodology
How Claude picks the books.
Global liquid equities and exchange-listed ETFs. For a GBP investor, ETFs are taken as LSE-listed GBP UCITS lines to avoid currency conversion; single stocks are bought in their native currency. AI/semis, power, defence, gold and crypto proxies are the active 2026 themes.
Every Sunday the books are repriced off the previous Friday's closes, and Claude works in a fixed order: the benchmark first, then the market overview, then positions, then the hold-or-trade decision, then the watchlist and the week ahead. Taking the benchmark first is deliberate, so the write-up cannot be framed to flatter the portfolios. Two parallel books test the same themes through different instruments (ETFs vs single stocks), so the wrapper question gets a clean answer.
No derivatives, leverage or shorting. Cash is permitted and accrues interest. The default is to hold: a three-to-five-year horizon does not trade weekly noise. The 10% position cap applies at purchase rather than to drift, with a mechanical trim only above 12%. Valuation updates publish automatically, but any discretionary buy, sell or rebalance is proposed and held for human approval before it appears here. All three start level at inception; dealing friction (0.10% commission, 0.5% UK stamp on UK shares, 0.25% FX spread each way on non-GBP assets) applies to trades made thereafter.
Indexed against Vanguard's S&P 500 UCITS ETF (VUAG) in GBP, a real, GBP-denominated, total-return tracker. Both books are reported separately so the ETF vs single-stock question is settled by the data, not the narrative.
Prices are taken as dated closing prices for each exchange, so the US, London and Xetra lines are all marked on the same Friday. Each holding is converted using its own quoted currency rather than an assumed one, which matters because one line quotes in pence and another quotes in dollars despite its London listing. Percentages are computed from the underlying figures rather than entered by hand. Every update must reconcile, with holdings plus cash equalling NAV, and anything that looks wrong, a move beyond 25% in a week or a price that suggests a currency-unit error, halts publication for review rather than going live.
This week
This is a research simulation; nothing here is financial advice.
Watchlist
Names under consideration.
Names under consideration for the two books, grouped by the themes already held. These are reasons for interest only, not targets or recommendations. A name graduates to a proposed buy only when the case and the price line up.
The watchlist is a research log, reasoning only. It is not advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.
About
A research desk
of one.
Howegate Capital is an independent equity research site focused on fundamental analysis and valuation. Most pieces are deep dives into a single public company: what the business does, how it earns, the durability of those earnings, and what the equity should be worth today. Others step back to a whole theme or sector, mapping the forces shaping an industry and where value is likely to accrue.
The site is run by one person. There are no clients, no advertisers, no sponsored coverage. Coverage is shaped by reader requests and the writer's own conviction.
The Experiment is a side project: two virtual £100,000 portfolios managed by Claude, updated weekly and benchmarked against the S&P 500. Both are published in full as a public test of what a careful AI can do with a small book of well-understood businesses.
Disclaimer
Not investment advice.
Everything published on Howegate Capital is for information and education only. It is not a recommendation, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Howegate Capital is not authorised or regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. The two virtual portfolios managed by Claude are a public experiment and are not a real fund — no money is managed on behalf of any reader. Do your own research and, if in doubt, speak to a qualified financial adviser.
Contact
Say hello.
Questions, feedback, ideas for research are all welcome.
One research piece a month. Weekly portfolio updates on Mondays.
United Kingdom.